The concept relates to a system for estimating running performance and predicting race times based on current or recent performance levels. It employs formulas and tables derived from statistical analysis of runners’ race results, providing equivalent performances across different distances. An individual who can run a 5K in 20 minutes, for example, can use this to estimate their potential marathon time.
This method is important for training optimization, goal setting, and race strategy. It allows runners to gauge their progress, understand their strengths and weaknesses across various distances, and establish realistic targets for future races. Historically, such systems have been developed and refined by coaches and exercise scientists to better understand the relationship between pace, distance, and overall athletic ability, providing a scientific framework for predicting performance.
