7+ Ways: How to Calculate Cannibalization Risk?

how to calculate cannibalization

7+ Ways: How to Calculate Cannibalization Risk?

Cannibalization, in a business context, refers to the reduction in sales volume, sales revenue, or market share of one product as a result of the introduction of a new product by the same company. An assessment of this effect involves quantifying the decrease in sales of the existing product that directly correlates with the increase in sales of the new product. For instance, a company launching a new model of a smartphone may see a decline in sales of its older models as consumers opt for the updated version.

Understanding and quantifying this potential sales reduction is critical for accurate forecasting, resource allocation, and overall strategic decision-making. It helps in determining the true profitability of a new product launch by accounting for the associated losses in existing product lines. Historically, businesses have underestimated this effect, leading to inflated projections and ultimately, disappointing financial results. Accurate measurement enables informed decisions regarding pricing strategies, marketing efforts, and product positioning to mitigate negative impacts.

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